Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.785222 4.397678 5.045391 5.778275 6.581348 7.431539 8.396598
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.838775 3.673559 4.618769 5.754880 7.070074 8.532015 10.267059
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.335045 3.330500 4.526946 6.038886 7.866812 9.975244 12.560387
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.860721 2.928118 4.288302 6.089477 8.353576 11.050202 14.448484
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.603515 2.751081 4.288314 6.403347 9.145040 12.491883 16.797246
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.379269 2.575392 4.255850 6.650649 9.841346 13.820715 19.030588
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.158294 2.362978 4.139547 6.760149 10.344331 14.904898 20.972958
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.935034 2.104462 3.921553 6.699626 10.601000 15.664525 22.508621
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.797566 1.960288 3.851012 6.829864 11.104744 16.742068 24.457271
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.679947 1.827500 3.779240 6.943853 11.578129 17.779522 26.363334
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.535550 1.612985 3.549770 6.799395 11.671414 18.300982 27.595530
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.417302 1.421097 3.332320 6.650547 11.740724 18.779014 28.766526
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.330925 1.277975 3.186139 6.608025 11.969555 19.491795 30.282518
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.255469 1.136970 3.025077 6.526874 12.132835 20.113295 31.684756
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.228205 1.113112 3.082012 6.808445 12.850297 21.524620 34.180419
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.183635 1.025314 3.002085 6.849640 13.196390 22.412931 35.971418
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.168031 1.020694 3.089510 7.182823 14.002480 23.970461 38.703310
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.149125 0.998915 3.137748 7.446865 14.704329 25.387210 41.256563
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.123536 0.943172 3.105925 7.563479 15.172518 26.470257 43.356715
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.092768 0.850465 2.979299 7.497240 15.341474 27.115104 44.847960
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.076704 0.809707 2.965821 7.637517 15.845248 28.256681 47.048306
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.062510 0.768402 2.945084 7.760394 16.319980 29.358460 49.200508
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.042352 0.676420 2.785487 7.604302 16.324404 29.754880 50.350591